创纪录:62%美国人认为美国政府权力过大

创纪录:62%美国人认为美国政府权力过大

2025-10-15Politics
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雷总
早上好,老王!我是雷总,这里是专为您打造的 Goose Pod。今天是10月16日,星期四。
董小姐
我是董小姐。今天我们要聊一个很劲爆的话题:创纪录,62%的美国人认为美国政府的权力过大了。
雷总
我们直接来看数据,朋友们,这个数字,62%,是盖洛普自2002年以来民调的最高纪录!这说明了什么?说明超过一半的美国人,都觉得政府这只“看得见的手”,伸得有点太长了。经济信心也在下滑,这恐怕不是巧合。
董小姐
这可不是简单的数字,这是民心向背的晴雨表!说明老百姓从根本上,对政府的信任度降到了冰点。做企业最怕的是什么?是失去用户的信任。政府也一样,一旦老百姓不信你了,你做什么都是错的。
雷总
而且这次最戏剧性的变化,来自党派内部。过去总是共和党抱怨政府权力大,但现在,民主党的支持者里,有66%的人都这么认为,这个比例居然超过了共和党!这真是一个历史性的反转,非常值得我们深入研究。
董小姐
这就是市场的直接反馈!政策就是产品,总统就是CEO。用户不满意,差评率自然就飙升。这说明民主党的“老用户”们,对现任“产品经理”的操作非常不满意,甚至开始怀疑整个“公司”的路线了。
雷总
我们把时间线拉长看,这个趋势就更有意思了。您看,2002年9/11事件后,大家同仇敌忾,觉得政府权力大点,安全!当时只有不到一半的人担心。但从2005年起,这个数字就再也没低过50%。就像手机电量,一直在警告线以下徘徊。
董小姐
信任这个东西,建起来需要几年、几十年,但毁掉它只需要几件事。9/11那种是特殊情况下的“强心针”,药效一过,该怎么样还怎么样。这说明民众对政府的不信任感,是长期积累下来的,不是一天两天的问题。
雷总
没错。之前的高点是在奥巴马总统的第二任期,2013年和2015年,当时是60%。你看,几年过去,现在这个纪录又被特朗普总统打破了,到了62%。这说明,这个问题已经超越了具体的某一位总统,变成了一个持续的社会情绪。
董小姐
趋势就是规律!这说明老百姓对政府这个“产品”的整体方向产生了怀疑,不管“产品经理”是谁,他们都觉得不满意。核心问题是,政府的权力边界到底在哪里?这个问题一天不解决,老百姓的焦虑就一天不会消失。
雷总
冲突的核心,就在于党派的极化。董小姐您看,民主党支持者的态度为什么会180度大转弯?报告分析,这和特朗普总统一系列打破常规的执政风格有直接关系,比如他签署了创纪录的行政命令,单方面加征关税等等。
董小姐
这就是我说的,现在的竞争完全变味了!两党不是在比谁能更好地服务民众,而是在比谁能更有效地攻击对方。你上台,我就说你越权;我上台,你就说我独裁。这不是在解决问题,这是在制造更大的问题!
雷总
是的,而且现在的媒体环境,更是火上浇油。各种新闻、博客、谈话节目,都在强化各自的观点,让人们只听得到自己想听的声音。这就导致了,大家都在自己的信息“茧房”里,观点越来越极端,共识也就越来越难达成。
董小姐
说白了,就是内耗!一个企业如果天天搞内斗,不专心做研发、抓质量,这个企业离倒闭也就不远了。国家也是一个道理,无休止的党派之争,最终消耗的是整个国家的元气和民众的信任。
雷总
这种普遍的不信任感,带来的直接影响就是,政策推行会变得异常艰难。就像我们发布一款新手机,如果用户从心底里就不信任你的品牌,那你发布会PPT做得再漂亮,参数再强大,也很难打动他们。大家会用最挑剔的眼光审视你。
董小姐
没错!这会动摇执政的根基。当超过六成的人都觉得你权力过大,你的每一个决策都会被放在放大镜下检视,都会被质疑背后是不是有什么不可告人的目的。这种环境下,还怎么搞改革?怎么推动发展?寸步难行!
雷总
但这里面也有一个很有趣的现象。虽然大家都在抱怨政府权力太大,但对很多具体的政府服务,比如美国邮政,大家的支持率还是很高的,超过一半。这说明,大家并非反对政府本身,而是反对那些他们认为“越界”的权力。
董小姐
如果这个趋势继续下去,后果不堪设想。社会撕裂会越来越严重,政府和民众之间会形成一道鸿沟。任何一个小火星,都可能引爆巨大的社会危机。我们做企业最怕的就是不确定性,而这种不信任,恰恰是最大的不确定性来源。
雷总
所以,未来的关键,在于如何重建信任。这需要政府的运作更加透明,决策更多地回应民众的关切。就像我们做产品,最重要的就是和用户交朋友,真诚地听取他们的反馈,解决他们的痛点,而不是高高在上,闭门造车。
雷总
今天的讨论就到这里。感谢您收听 Goose Pod。
董小姐
我们明天再见。

## Record-High 62% Say U.S. Government Has Too Much Power, Gallup Poll Reveals **Report Provider:** Gallup.com **Author:** Frank Newport **Date/Time Period Covered:** The latest reading is from President Donald Trump's second term, with comparisons to previous years including President Obama's second term (2013, 2015), President George W. Bush's era (2002-2007), and President Biden's administration. The trend data spans 23 years since 2002. **News Identifier:** Gallup Poll Social Series ### Main Findings and Conclusions A new Gallup poll indicates that a record-high **62% of Americans** believe the U.S. federal government has too much power. This sentiment has significantly increased from **51% a year ago** and is the highest recorded since Gallup began tracking this question in 2002. The majority of the remaining Americans believe the government's power is "about right." The poll also explored public opinion on whether the government is doing too much or too little. Currently, **51% of Americans** feel the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses, while **40% believe it should do more** to solve the country's problems. ### Key Statistics and Metrics * **Government Power:** * **62%** of Americans believe the federal government has too much power (highest on record). * This is up from **51%** a year ago. * The previous high was **60%** in 2013 and 2015 during Barack Obama's second term. * The average "too much power" reading since 2002 is **53%**. * From 2002-2004, less than half of Americans perceived the government had too much power, likely due to post-9/11 sentiment. * Since 2005, "too much power" ratings have consistently been **50% or higher**. * **Government Doing Too Much/Too Little:** * **51%** of Americans say the government is doing too much. * **40%** say the government is doing too little. * This nearly matches long-term averages. * The "government doing too much" sentiment has dropped slightly from the previous year. ### Significant Trends or Changes * **Shift in Democratic Opinion:** A notable shift has occurred among Democrats. This year, **66% of Democrats** (and Democratic-leaning independents) say the government has too much power, a significant surge from **25% in the past year**. This marks the first time since 2003-2007 that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to hold this view. * **Republican Opinion:** Republicans have moved in the opposite direction, with **58%** saying the government has too much power, down from **75%** last year. * **Historical Context:** Democrats' increased concern about government power is attributed to the "extraordinarily active presidency" of Donald Trump, citing a record number of executive orders, domestic military use, unilateral tariffs, and other policy changes. Their reactions are described as stronger than during the George W. Bush administration and Trump's first term. * **Partisan Divide on Government's Role:** While Democrats' views on government power have dramatically shifted, their opinions on whether the government is "doing too much" have remained relatively stable. Republicans consistently express a strong belief that the government is doing too much, averaging **73%** since 2001, with **74%** holding this view this year. Democrats, on average, have shown less agreement, with **32%** saying the government is doing too much since 2001, and **34%** this year. ### Notable Risks or Concerns The poll highlights a deepening partisan divide in attitudes towards government power and its role. The significant increase in Democrats' concern about government power is a key development, suggesting a strong reaction to the current political landscape. The article notes that without experimental research, it's difficult to pinpoint the exact reasons for the divergent reactions between the two survey questions. ### Important Recommendations No explicit recommendations are provided in this news summary. The report focuses on presenting public opinion data and trends. ### Material Financial Data No material financial data is presented in this news summary. ### Interpretation and Context The Gallup poll reveals a **record-high level of public distrust in the U.S. federal government's power**. This sentiment is particularly pronounced in the current reading, surpassing previous peaks observed during the Obama and George W. Bush administrations. The most striking finding is the **dramatic shift in opinion among Democrats**. Historically, Republicans have been more likely to express concern about government overreach. However, the current data shows Democrats now leading this sentiment. This change is directly linked to the perceived "extraordinarily active presidency" of Donald Trump, with specific actions like executive orders and tariff impositions cited as catalysts. This suggests that the perception of government power is heavily influenced by the actions of the current administration, especially for the party not in power. Conversely, the question about whether the government is "doing too much" shows a more stable, long-term pattern. While a majority still believes the government is overextended, the shifts within partisan groups on this issue are less pronounced than on the question of government power. This suggests that while Americans generally prefer a limited government role, the *perception* of excessive power is a more volatile and politically charged issue. The poll underscores the **enduring public sentiment since 9/11** that the federal government has too much power and undertakes too many tasks that should be left to individuals and businesses. The data strongly indicates that **political ideology and current political realities are intertwined** in shaping these views.

Record-High 62% Say U.S. Government Has Too Much Power

Read original at Gallup.com

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Does the U.S. government have too much power? The answer to that question, according to the American public, is yes. Sixty-two percent of Americans say the federal government has too much power, with most of the rest saying the government’s power is about right. This latest reading, the first in President Donald Trump’s second term, is up from 51% a year ago and is the highest in Gallup’s trend since 2002, by two percentage points.

The prior high was 60%, recorded during Barack Obama’s second term, in 2013 and 2015. The current figure is also well above the 53% average “too much power” reading since Gallup first asked the question in 2002. Views about government power have shifted significantly over the past 23 years. For the first few years of Gallup’s tracking, from 2002 to 2004, less than half of Americans perceived the government had too much power.

This most likely reflected the more positive views of government and elected leaders after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Since 2005, “too much power” ratings have consistently been at 50% or higher, mostly within a range of 50% to 60%, with this year’s 62% marking the highest on record. ###Embeddable### Partisan Differences Reflect Both Ideology and Current Political Reality The uptick this year in views that the government has too much power reflects shifts among partisan groups.

Democrats (and Democratic-leaning independents) have become much more likely to say the government has too much power, surging to 66% from 25% in the past year. Republicans have moved in the opposite direction, but to a lesser degree, falling to 58% from 75% last year. As a result, this marks the first time since the years 2003-2007 that Democrats have been more likely than Republicans to say the government has too much power.

Democrats’ concern about government power during the George W. Bush era most likely reflected the expansion of government actions after 9/11 and opposition to the Iraq War. Democrats’ reactions were more muted during Trump’s first term, when 44% to 50% said the federal government was too powerful, only modestly higher than the 36% who said this in Obama’s final year in office.

Democrats’ current concerns about government power are likely a reaction to Trump’s extraordinarily active presidency thus far, including a record-high number of executive orders, the use of the military domestically, the unilateral imposition of tariffs, and other major policy changes across the government.

Still, even now, Democrats’ belief that the government is too powerful is lower than the 74% to 82% of Republicans who viewed the government as having too much power during the Obama and Biden administrations. ###Embeddable### Is the Government Doing Too Much? Another aspect of the role of government that Gallup tracks asks the public to say whether the government “is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses” or the government “should do more to solve our country’s problems.

” Currently, 51% of Americans say the government is doing too much, while 40% say it is doing too little. This nearly matches the long-term averages. There have been only four times in the past 33 years when the public has chosen the more active government alternative over the “government doing too much” choice.

These occurred in 1992 and 1993 when the government was coming out of a recession, in 2001 after 9/11, and in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. But in each instance, Americans soon drifted back to the long-term pattern of saying the government is doing too much. ###Embeddable### Unlike what is observed on the measure of government power, the percentage of Americans choosing the “government doing too much” alternative dropped by a few points from last year.

This year’s figure is not too far off from what was observed while Joe Biden was president (albeit with a slightly higher percentage now expressing no opinion). Big Partisan Differences Exist in Preferences for Government’s Role There is the expected partisan gap in responses to this question about the government’s role in society.

Throughout the trend, large majorities of Republicans have said the government is trying to do too many things, fluctuating between 62% and 84% (with an average of 73%) since 2001. Many fewer Democrats agree, with an average of 32% (since 2001) saying the government is doing too much and Democratic responses usually within the 20% to 40% range.

This year, both partisan groups are slightly above their long-term averages — 74% of Republicans say the government is doing too much, compared with 34% of Democrats. ###Embeddable### Republicans are, not surprisingly, slightly less likely to say the government is doing too much when a Republican is in the White House (Bush administration and the first Trump term) and somewhat more likely when there is a Democratic president (Obama and Biden administrations).

This year, with a Republican back in office, Republicans are slightly less likely than in 2024 to say the government is doing too much, while Democrats have moved the same amount in the opposite direction. But these changes are nowhere near as great as seen on the measure of government power. Bottom Line In the years since 9/11 began to fade as an influence on public attitudes toward the government, these two questions about the role of government have reflected an underlying and mostly enduring public perception: The federal government has too much power and tries to do too much that should be left to individuals and businesses.

As is true for so many aspects of American life today, preferences about government power and the role of government are strongly partisan. Republicans tend to be the most concerned about the federal government having too much power, while Democrats are usually less so. These underlying historical patterns make the sharp increase in this year’s percentage of Democrats saying the government has too much power all the more notable.

Democrats are, no doubt, reacting to the Trump administration’s actions and unprecedented expansion of the use of government power. Their reactions are much stronger than those during the Bush administration and Trump’s first term. As a result, for the first time in almost two decades, Democrats are more worried than Republicans about the federal government being too powerful.

Democrats’ responses to the question asking about the more general role of government in solving the nation’s problems do not show the same type of change this year. In short, Democrats’ views that the government has too much power have jumped up significantly, while their views that the government is doing too much that should be left to individuals and businesses have remained relatively stable.

Without experimental research, it is impossible to say exactly why the two questions evoke such different reactions. But it may be that even though the “doing too much” question is phrased in terms of what is happening now, the wording of the “government should do more to solve our country’s problems” alternative evokes generally positive reactions from Democrats who interpret it as a general, philosophic principle.

Stay up to date with the latest insights by following @Gallup on X and on Instagram. Learn more about how the Gallup Poll Social Series works. View complete question responses and trends (PDF download). ###Embeddable###

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