科技大佬们喜忧参半:萨姆·阿尔特曼狂飙争霸AI

科技大佬们喜忧参半:萨姆·阿尔特曼狂飙争霸AI

2025-10-19Technology
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马老师
早上好,韩纪飞。我是马老师,这里是专为你打造的 Goose Pod。今天是10月20日,星期一,早上6点。
小撒
我是小撒!今天,咱们聊一个风口浪尖上的人物和话题:科技大佬们喜忧参半:萨姆·阿尔特曼狂飙争霸AI!
马老师
Let's get started. 最近这个萨姆·阿尔特曼,真的是在AI这个武林里,掀起了一场腥风血雨。我认为,他这套拳法,快、准、狠,完全不给对手喘息的机会,你懂的。
小撒
何止是快准狠!简直就是“闪电战”!感觉我们每眨一下眼睛,OpenAI就扔出来一个重磅炸弹。前脚刚发布视频生成工具Sora,五天就狂揽一百万用户,后脚就跟AMD、英伟达签了上万亿美元的超级大单!
马老师
没错,他这个打法,就是先用Sora这样的绝招,直接“破防”大众市场,吸引所有人的目光。然后,他反手就和英伟达这些“兵器库”签下天价订单,垄断了最顶级的“神兵利器”,这是典型的“外家功夫”和“内功”一起练。
小撒
太形象了!而且他还不满足,又推出了个“即时结账”功能,直接在ChatGPT里就能买东西,这是要“吃掉整个互联网”的节奏啊!这就好比一个武林高手,不仅武功盖世,还自己开了个天下最大的兵器铺兼客栈!
马老师
这背后,是一种叫做“旧金山共识”的东西在驱动。就是那帮硅谷的精英们,坚信AGI,也就是通用人工智能,很快就会实现。谁先掌握了AGI,谁就掌握了未来全球GDP的相当一部分,这个诱惑太大了。
小撒
所以阿尔特曼才这么着急!他不是要成为下一个比尔·盖茨,做一个操作系统。他是要把AI做成“晶体管”,让它无处不在,渗透进每一个产品里。这盘棋下得太大了,简直是要重塑整个世界的商业逻辑!
马老师
但最有意思的是,这家公司的“出身”。OpenAI在2015年成立的时候,可是一个非营利组织,像一个理想主义的“学术门派”,创始团队里还有埃隆·马斯克这样的大人物。
小撒
对!他们的口号特别“正能量”,说是要确保通用人工智能“惠及全人类”。听起来就像一群武功高强的侠客,为了防止绝世武功落入坏人之手,自己成立了一个“武林正义联盟”,还要把武功秘籍公开,大家一起练。
马老师
这个初心,the original intention,是非常好的。他们担心AI这个东西太强大,如果被滥用,会对人类社会造成毁灭性打击。所以他们要“freely collaborate”,自由合作,把研究成果和专利都公开。
小撒
没错,当时他们说,我们这个组织不为赚钱,就是为了全人类的安全。这一下就吸引了很多顶尖高手加入,大家觉得这是个有情怀、有理想的地方。但问题来了,练“绝世武功”是需要花钱的,而且是烧钱!
马老师
是的,理想很丰满,现实很骨感。他们最初号称筹集了10亿美元,但到2019年,实际到位的资金只有一亿多。这点钱对于AI研究这种吞金巨兽来说,简直是杯水车薪,你懂的。高手也得吃饭,也得有地方练功啊。
小撒
于是,转折点来了!2019年,这个“正义联盟”搞了个大变身,从一个纯粹的“非营利组织”变成了一个“有限盈利”的公司。这就好比,侠客们说,我们还是要恰饭的,我们开个公司,赚的钱有个上限,但我们得先活下去!
马老师
正是这个转变,引来了一个超级“金主爸爸”——微软。微软先是投了10亿美元,后来又追投了据说有100亿。这一下,OpenAI鸟枪换炮,不仅有了钱,还有了微软Azure这个强大的“内力”支持,才有了后来GPT系列的一飞冲天。
小撒
所以说,OpenAI的故事,就是一个理想主义的侠客团队,在现实的压力下,不得不接受商业世界的规则,与一个商业巨头联手,最终成长为武林霸主的故事。只是不知道,他们还记不记得最初那个“惠及全人类”的誓言了。
马老师
这就引出了现在最大的矛盾。阿尔特曼这种“天下武功,唯快不破”的打法,让很多人感到不安。快,是能抢占先机,但也很容易“走火入魔”。你看,他们现在把安全测试的时间从几个月缩短到几天。
小撒
这太吓人了!这不等于说,新研发出来的“独门武器”,还没经过严格测试就直接拿到江湖上用了?万一有什么致命缺陷,伤及无辜怎么办?已经有诉讼案称,ChatGPT“主动帮助”一名青少年探索自杀方法,这后果太严重了。
马老师
所以,外界的评价非常两极分化。有人说他是英雄,是推动技术进步的先驱;也有人说他是恶棍,为了追逐收入,不顾消费者安全。甚至连OpenAI的11名早期员工,都站出来支持马斯克,说公司违背了最初的承诺。
小撒
内部都出现“叛徒”了?这说明问题不小啊!而且阿尔特曼本人对监管的态度也变来变去。之前还在国会呼吁,要成立新机构来给大模型发“牌照”,现在又反悔了,说这不是个好主意。这让外界怎么相信他?
马老师
我认为,他现在被一种巨大的惯性推着走。竞争太激烈了,他一旦慢下来,对手就可能追上来。他自己也说,无法想象身处他的位置是什么感觉,既要当英雄,又要顶着恶棍的骂名。这种压力,不是一般人能承受的,你懂的。
小撒
他现在就像一个开着失控赛车的车手,所有人都为他的速度欢呼,但也都担心他随时会车毁人亡,还可能连累观众。他到底是会成为传奇,还是会成为一场灾难的制造者?这恐怕是整个科技界都在问的问题。
马老师
但不管争议多大,从商业角度看,OpenAI的影响力已经势不可挡了。它的估值已经冲到了一个天文数字,有说1570亿美元,甚至有投资人看到3000亿。年收入也达到了40亿美元的水平,这在初创公司里是绝无仅有的。
小撒
没错,它就像一条巨大的鲶鱼,被扔进了科技圈这个池塘里,所有鱼都被迫游得更快了!现在《财富》500强公司里,超过92%都在用它的技术。它用一个免费的ChatGPT,没花一分钱营销,就撬动了整个地球。
马老师
它的模式非常聪明。先用免费版吸引海量用户,培养使用习惯,这叫“群众路线”。然后推出API接口,让成千上万的开发者,都成为它事实上的“销售员”,帮它把技术卖到各行各业。这是在构建一个生态,一个“武林盟主”的生态。
小撒
而且它还在巨额亏损!有报告说2024年可能要亏50亿美金。这就是一场豪赌,赌自己能用技术优势和市场规模,在未来把成本降下来,最终实现盈利。这种烧钱换市场的玩法,把整个行业的竞争门槛提到了前所未有的高度。
马老师
展望未来,他们的路线图已经很清晰了。下一步就是GPT-5,他们称之为“神奇的统一智能”。目标是让用户感觉不到模型的存在,AI就能把所有事情都办好,就像魔法一样,making AI just work。
小撒
听起来就像科幻电影里的场景,AI会成为一个无所不能的伙伴。但这也带来了新的问题,就是监管。美国那边可能为了创新和竞争,不太会出台严格的法律,但欧洲肯定会越来越谨慎。技术在狂奔,法律在后面追,就看谁跑得快了。
马老师
是的,最终,一切都回到了那个核心问题上,就是我们如何与一个可能比我们更聪明的“物种”共存。这需要技术、商业,更需要哲学和伦理的智慧。我们都在期待一个答案。
小撒
而萨姆·阿尔特曼,就是那个站在风暴中心,亲手揭开这个时代大幕的人。好了,今天的讨论就到这里。感谢您收听Goose Pod。我们明天再见!
马老师
See you tomorrow.

## Tech CEOs Marvel — and Worry — About Sam Altman’s Dizzying Race to Dominate AI **Report Provider:** Business Insider **Author:** Sarah E. Needleman **Date/Time Period Covered:** Past few weeks, with projections extending to year-end and 2029. **News Identifier:** URL: https://www.businessinsider.com/tech-ceos-weigh-in-openai-chief-sam-altman-leadership-2025-10 ### Executive Summary OpenAI cofounder and CEO Sam Altman is making waves with an unprecedented pace of announcements and strategic deals, drawing both admiration and concern from fellow tech leaders. While his ambition is lauded as crucial for capitalizing on the AI revolution, some express unease about the potential impact on consumer safety. OpenAI is experiencing rapid growth, with significant revenue projections and user engagement, but also faces substantial operational costs. The company's aggressive strategy is seen by some as a calculated move to secure its dominance in the burgeoning AI market. ### Key Findings and Conclusions * **Exceptional Pace of Innovation and Dealmaking:** Sam Altman has orchestrated a flurry of significant announcements and blockbuster deals in recent weeks, demonstrating a highly ambitious strategy. * **Divergent CEO Opinions:** Tech CEOs are divided on Altman's approach. Some are awed by his ambition and recognize the critical nature of platform shifts in AI. Others express concern that the rapid pace may compromise consumer safety. * **Strategic Importance of AI:** The current AI boom is likened to the formative years of the internet and mobile computing, suggesting a monumental platform shift that requires aggressive pursuit. * **OpenAI's Growth Trajectory:** OpenAI is experiencing substantial growth, with significant revenue expectations and user engagement for its products like ChatGPT. * **High Operational Costs:** The company faces considerable expenses, particularly related to the immense computing power required for AI operations. * **Strategic Dealmaking for Compute Power:** Altman's deals with AMD and Nvidia are highlighted as crucial for securing long-term access to essential computing resources, a key aspect of negotiation strategy. * **Personal Branding as a Strategy:** Altman's use of personal branding, such as encouraging users to create videos of him, is seen as a clever tactic to enhance likability and company visibility. * **Consumer Safety Concerns:** Lawsuits and concerns from some tech leaders point to potential harms caused by AI products, raising questions about OpenAI's safety protocols. ### Key Statistics and Metrics * **Total Dealmaking This Year:** Approximately **$1 trillion** in deals signed with AMD and Nvidia. * **Sora User Acquisition:** Gained **over 1 million users** in its first five days. * **Projected Revenue by Year-End:** OpenAI expects to surpass **$13 billion** in revenue. * **ChatGPT Weekly Active Users:** More than **doubled** in the last four months to about **800 million**. * **Projected Spending Through 2029:** On track to spend **$155 billion** due to power requirements. ### Important Recommendations (Implicit) * **Embrace Momentum in AI:** The rapid pace of AI development necessitates aggressive action to capture opportunities. * **Diversify Compute Suppliers:** Securing multiple suppliers for computing power is a sound negotiation strategy to ensure competitive pricing and reliable access. * **Prioritize Consumer Safety:** While pursuing growth, there is an implicit recommendation for companies to adequately address safety concerns and implement robust safeguards. ### Significant Trends or Changes * **Accelerated AI Development:** AI is advancing at an "extraordinary clip" with a "super exponential trajectory." * **Platform Shift in Tech:** The current AI boom represents a significant platform shift, comparable to the advent of the internet and mobile computing. * **OpenAI's Expansion:** OpenAI is signaling a potential move into the enterprise software market with new AI-powered workplace tools. * **CEO Persona in Business:** A strong CEO persona is becoming increasingly important for successful companies. ### Notable Risks or Concerns * **Consumer Safety:** Lawsuits and concerns from some tech leaders highlight the potential for AI products to cause harm, with allegations of ChatGPT "actively helping" a user explore suicide methods. * **Balancing Speed and Safety:** There is a tension between moving quickly to maintain a competitive edge and ensuring adequate safety measures, leading to potential mistakes or oversights. * **"Moving Fast and Breaking Things":** Some critics argue that OpenAI is prioritizing revenue over safety, adopting a "moving fast and breaking things" approach. ### Material Financial Data * **Deal Value:** The combined value of deals with AMD and Nvidia is approximately **$1 trillion**. * **Revenue Projection:** OpenAI anticipates exceeding **$13 billion** in revenue by the end of the current year. * **Future Spending:** The company is projected to spend **$155 billion** by 2029 on operational costs, primarily for computing power. ### Verbatim Quotes * "He understands that these platform shifts come around once every decade or two decades. This is probably going to be the biggest one we've ever seen in tech." - Aaron Levie, CEO of Box, on Sam Altman's ambition. * "I can't imagine moving the speed that they're moving. It's never been seen before." - Joel Milne, CEO of AutoUnify, on OpenAI's pace. * "You have to run fast to capture the opportunity. AI is a phenomenon. It has a super exponential trajectory." - Bipul Sinha, CEO and cofounder of Rubrik, on the need for speed in AI. * "Each individually might not make a big splash, but collectively they do. It creates a network effect across multiple industries." - Ross Finman, CEO of Augmodo, on the strategy of timing multiple announcements. * "Most successful companies today have a strong CEO persona." - Joshua March, leader of Veritus Agent, on Altman's personal branding. * "They're not doing enough for safety." - Kate Doerksen, founder of Sage Haven, expressing concerns about OpenAI's safety protocols. * "Our work to make ChatGPT more helpful and strengthen its safeguards is constant and ongoing. We'll keep improving safety as we build and scale the infrastructure needed for the future." - OpenAI spokesperson. * "I can't really imagine what it's like to be in his shoes, to be the hero or the villain of this technology that everyone is talking about." - Jill Popelka, CEO of Darktrace, on Altman's unique position.

Tech CEOs marvel — and worry — about Sam Altman’s dizzying race to dominate AI

Read original at Business Insider

OpenAI cofounder and CEO Sam Altman has had an exceptionally busy past few weeks. Florian Gaertner/Photothek via Getty Images Altman's OpenAI recently made a flurry of announcements, including blockbuster deals with AMD and Nvidia. Several tech CEOs Business Insider spoke with said they were impressed by Altman's ambition.

Others said they'd prefer if he took his foot off the gas in the interest of consumer safety. Sam Altman's breakneck pace has some tech leaders awed and others uneasy.In the past few weeks alone, the OpenAI cofounder and CEO signed blockbuster computing deals with AMD and Nvidia, bringing his startup's total dealmaking this year to about $1 trillion.

The company launched Sora, an AI video app that gained more than 1 million users in its first five days, as well as Instant Checkout, a shopping feature for its ChatGPT chatbot. OpenAI also unveiled new AI-powered workplace tools that its employees are using internally, signaling a potential move into the enterprise software market.

And that's just a sampling of the San Francisco-based juggernaut's latest announcements.Altman "is one of the most ambitious founders out there," said Aaron Levie, CEO of cloud-storage company Box, who likened today's AI boom to the formative years of the internet and mobile computing. "He understands that these platform shifts come around once every decade or two decades.

This is probably going to be the biggest one we've ever seen in tech."Levie and other tech leaders observing Altman from afar told Business Insider that success in entrepreneurship demands constant momentum. Yet even by startup standards, they said Altman's torrent of activity stands out, with some calling it bold and others reckless."

I can't imagine moving the speed that they're moving," said Joel Milne, CEO of AutoUnify, a startup that makes AI-commerce applications for dealerships, marketplaces, and other vendors in the automotive industry. "It's never been seen before."'AI is a phenomenon'Going full throttle makes sense for Altman as AI is advancing at an extraordinary clip, said Bipul Sinha, CEO and cofounder of cybersecurity firm Rubrik.

"You have to run fast to capture the opportunity," he said. "AI is a phenomenon. It has a super exponential trajectory."Altman's efforts appear to be paying off. San Francisco-based OpenAI expects to surpass $13 billion in revenue by year's end, and its first mainstream product, three-year-old ChatGPT, has more than doubled its weekly active users in the last four months to about 800 million.

Still, OpenAI has significant expenses. The company is on track to spend $155 billion through 2029 due to the massive amount of power it needs to operate.By timing several major OpenAI announcements close together over the past few weeks, Altman demonstrated strategic savvy, said Ross Finman, CEO of Augmodo, a startup maker of smart badges for retail workers that have 3D cameras and AI technology baked in."

Each individually might not make a big splash, but collectively they do," said Finman, who, like Altman, attended the Silicon Valley accelerator program Y Combinator. "It creates a network effect across multiple industries."Negotiation 101Altman also deserves kudos for securing critical compute power for OpenAI for years to come with the AMD and Nvidia deals, said Art Zeile, CEO of DHI Group, the parent of job platforms Dice and ClearanceJobs."

He is diversifying the data centers he is going to use for the future," said Zeile. "Negotiation 101 is to have many suppliers so you can get the best price."Amid the frenzy, Altman played up his personal branding by inviting people to use Sora to create videos of him doing whatever they can imagine.

Some followed through by making ones showing the tech founder shoplifting and rapping. Joshua March, another Y Combinator attendee who leads the financial-services AI startup Veritus Agent, described the move as a clever way for Altman to make himself more likable."Most successful companies today have a strong CEO persona," March said.

Hero or villainNot all tech leaders are admirers of Altman. Some say they would prefer if he took his foot off the gas in the interest of consumer safety, as lawsuits allege that ChatGPT and other chatbots have harmed some users.In August, a family sued OpenAI in California state court, alleging that ChatGPT "actively helped" their son explore suicide methods over several months before he died by suicide on April 11.

OpenAI is "moving fast and breaking things in an effort to chase a ton of revenue," said Kate Doerksen, founder of the startup Sage Haven, a messaging app for kids that has AI components. "They're not doing enough for safety."A spokesperson for OpenAI noted that the company last month rolled out parental controls to help keep teens safe and a parent resource page⁠."

Our work to make ChatGPT more helpful and strengthen its safeguards is constant and ongoing," she said. "We'll keep improving safety as we build and scale the infrastructure needed for the future."Jill Popelka, CEO of AI cybersecurity company Darktrace, sees Altman as a leader who's stuck in a unique bind.

She said that slowing down could enable his rivals to catch up to OpenAI, but moving too quickly could result in mistakes or oversights."I can't really imagine what it's like to be in his shoes," Popelka said, "to be the hero or the villain of this technology that everyone is talking about." AI Leadership Sam Altman More OpenAI Startup ChatGPT Cybersecurity Read next

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