美国对墨西哥新鲜番茄加征17%关税,旨在扶持国内产业

美国对墨西哥新鲜番茄加征17%关税,旨在扶持国内产业

2025-07-17Business
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Tom
早上好 norristong_x,我是 Tom,这是为你制作的 Goose Pod。今天是7月17日,星期四,上午8点。
Ema
我是 Ema,我们今天将一起探讨一个热门话题:美国对墨西哥新鲜番茄加征17%的关税,旨在扶持其国内产业。
Tom
我们开始吧。首先,最引人注目的就是这个数字:17%。美国政府突然宣布对大部分从墨西哥进口的新鲜番茄征收17.5%的关税,这在市场上引起了不小的震动。 negotiations to avert the tariff ended without an agreement.
Ema
哇,17.5%!这就像你每天喝的进口咖啡突然涨价近两成。对于爱吃番茄的美国消费者来说,这可不是个好消息。而且墨西哥番茄在美国市场的占有率相当高,这影响范围可不小。
Tom
没错。根据佛罗里达番茄交易所的数据,墨西哥目前供应了美国约70%的番茄市场,而二十年前这个数字才30%。这个增长非常惊人,也凸显了这项新关税可能带来的巨大影响。这不仅仅是价格问题了。
Ema
从30%到70%,这简直是市场格局的颠覆啊!难怪美国本土的番茄种植者会感到压力。所以,美国政府给出的官方理由就是为了“重建”国内萎缩的番茄产业,确保美国人吃的番茄也是美国自己种的。
Tom
正是如此。美国商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克在声明中说,“我们的农民长期以来一直受到不公平贸易行为的打压,这种情况今天结束了。”这番话充满了决心,也预示着一场贸易博弈的开始。
Ema
听起来火药味很浓。一方面是保护国内产业的“爱国”口号,另一方面是市场份额和消费者选择的现实。这背后肯定有更深层次的原因和多年的积怨。我们不如深入聊聊这整个事件的背景吧。
Tom
当然。这个争端其实由来已久,并非一日之寒。核心问题在于一个叫做“倾销”的贸易指控。美国番茄种植者,特别是佛罗里达州的,一直抱怨墨西哥生产商以低于成本的价格在美国市场销售番茄。
Ema
“倾销”?听起来像是在商场里大甩卖,但用在国际贸易上就复杂多了。简单说,就像一家大超市为了挤垮旁边的夫妻老婆店,故意亏本卖东西,先把对手耗死,再自己垄断市场,对吗?
Tom
你的比喻非常贴切。为了解决这个问题,两国在2019年达成了一份《番茄暂停协议》。根据协议,墨西哥同意以不低于某个最低价格出售番茄,并遵守其他规则,美国则暂停对此进行反倾销调查。
Ema
所以,之前是有过一个“停战协议”的。那为什么现在又突然撕毁协议,直接加税了呢?难道是墨西哥方面没有遵守约定,还是美国这边觉得协议不够给力?这转变有点突然。
Tom
问题就出在这里。美国商务部表示,他们收到了大量来自本国番茄种植者的意见,认为2019年的协议没能有效保护他们免受墨西哥商品的冲击。用他们的话说,是被这些意见“淹没”了,所以决定退出协议。
Ema
“淹没”这个词很有画面感,看来美国农民的怨气值已经满了。但这背后是否也和两国番茄的生产方式不同有关呢?我听说墨西哥的番茄和佛罗里达的番茄,从根上就不太一样。
Tom
你说到点子上了。这是一个很关键的因素。墨西哥的温室专注于培育藤熟番茄,也就是在藤上自然成熟的番茄,品质和口感更受欢迎。而佛罗里达的番茄通常是在田里种植,绿的时候就摘下来,再催熟。
Ema
啊哈!这就解释了为什么墨西哥番茄能占据70%的市场。消费者当然更喜欢藤上熟的番茄,味道更好,更新鲜。这不是不公平竞争,而是产品质量本身带来的优势。美国消费者用钱包投了票。
Tom
是的,这也是墨西哥方面的核心论点。他们认为市场份额的增长是靠产品质量赢得的,而非不正当的低价策略。这就让整个争端变得更加复杂,是质量差异还是价格倾销,双方各执一词。
Ema
我明白了。所以,这不仅仅是经济问题,还涉及到农业技术、生产模式和消费者偏好的差异。美国想通过关税来扶持国内产业,但如果本土产品在品质上无法满足消费者,这个策略能走多远呢?这真是一个棘手的问题。
Tom
确实。现在我们来看看冲突的双方。支持者,比如佛罗里达番茄交易所的执行副总裁罗伯特·金瑟,称这项关税是“美国番茄农民和农业的巨大胜利”。他们认为这是保护自己免受不公平竞争的必要手段。
Ema
“巨大胜利”,这个词很有分量。站在他们的角度,长期的市场份额被挤压,生存都成了问题,肯定会欢迎这种保护性措施。但是,有胜利者,就一定有反对者。反对的声音听起来怎么样?
Tom
反对的声音非常强烈。墨西哥经济部长马塞洛·埃布拉德直言,此举“只会影响美国消费者的口袋”,并且“不仅对墨西哥生产商不公,对美国产业也不公”。他认为这是拿消费者利益当赌注。
Ema
这话说得很直接。代表墨西哥番茄进口商的美洲新鲜农产品协会主席兰斯·荣格迈尔也表示很“悲伤”,他说美国消费者将不得不为他们更喜欢的番茄支付“番茄税”,而且选择还会变少。他提到了串番茄、葡萄番茄这些特定品种。
Tom
是的,这引出了一个关键冲突点:生产者利益与消费者利益之间的矛盾。更有趣的是,反对者并非都来自墨西哥。包括美国商会、全国餐馆协会,甚至德克萨斯州和亚利桑那州的州长都曾敦促商务部维持原有的协议。
Ema
连自己人都出来反对?这就有意思了。德州和亚利桑那州州长,一个是共和党,一个是民主党,居然在这个问题上意见一致。这说明关税带来的影响是跨越党派的,牵扯的利益链条非常长。
Tom
完全正确。美国商会联合30个商业团体在给商务部的信中警告,这项政策可能引发贸易伙伴的报复行为,从而给其他商品和农作物带来更多困难。他们提到,处理墨西哥番茄的美国公司雇佣了5万名工人,创造了83亿美元的经济效益。
Ema
哇,5万个工作岗位和83亿美元!这可不是小数目。所以冲突的核心是,为了保护一部分番茄农民的利益,是否值得去冒损害消费者、冲击数万就业岗位,甚至引发更广泛贸易战的风险。这真是一个两难的选择。
Tom
是的,我们接下来就具体谈谈这项关税带来的影响。最直接的,就是消费者要花更多的钱。亚利桑那州立大学的农业经济学教授蒂姆·理查兹预测,17.5%的关税可能会导致美国番茄零售价上涨约8.5%。
Ema
上涨8.5%!听起来不多,但对于日常消费品来说,这个涨幅已经很明显了。也就是说,以前4美元一盒的樱桃番茄,现在可能要卖到4.34美元。日积月累,这也是一笔不小的开销。这个涨幅是全国统一的吗?
Tom
并非完全统一。美国行动论坛的贸易政策分析师雅各布·詹森指出,价格上涨幅度可能因地区而异。那些更依赖墨西哥番茄的地区,价格涨幅可能接近10%,因为寻找替代供应源更困难;而其他地区可能只上涨6%左右。
Ema
这很好理解,就像住在港口城市,海鲜就便宜,内陆就贵一个道理。除了价格,消费者还能感受到什么影响?之前好像提到了番茄种类的选择会变少,这是为什么呢?难道美国农民不种那些特殊的品种吗?
Tom
这又回到了我们之前讨论的生产模式差异上。墨西哥的温室系统非常适合培育各种特殊品种,如串番茄、罗马番茄、鸡尾酒番茄等。而美国,特别是佛罗里达的传统大田种植,更侧重于少数几种高产、耐运输的品种。因此,关税可能会让那些受消费者欢迎的特殊番茄在货架上变得稀少或昂贵。
Ema
我明白了。所以,美国消费者不仅要花更多的钱,可能还买不到自己最爱吃的那种番茄了。这用户体验可真是直线下降。这政策听起来对消费者不太友好啊。真的是为了大家好吗,我很怀疑。
Tom
这是一个很好的问题:这个政策能实现其预期目标吗?也就是,真的能扶持起国内的番茄产业吗?一些评论提出了实际的挑战。比如,就算要扩大生产,谁来采摘这些番茄呢?美国的农业劳动力短缺是一个长期存在的问题。
Ema
没错!农业生产可不是按一下开关那么简单。你不能今天决定要增产,明天番茄就长出来了。这需要时间来规划作物的轮作周期,需要稳定的劳动力。所以,这个政策的长期效果确实充满了不确定性。
Tom
另一个重大风险是贸易报复。信中已经警告,墨西哥可能会对从美国进口的其他商品加征关税,比如美国出口的玉米或猪肉。这种针锋相对的贸易战一旦开始,最终会伤害到两国的更多产业和消费者。
Ema
这就像邻里吵架,你今天倒我门口一盆水,我明天就砸你家一块玻璃,恶性循环,没完没了。看来,用关税这把“锤子”解决问题,很可能会砸到自己的脚。未来的贸易关系,恐怕会更加紧张和复杂。
Tom
总的来说,美国对墨西哥番茄加征关税,试图在保护本国农民和维持市场稳定之间走钢丝。但这条钢丝看起来非常脆弱,充满了来自经济、政治和消费者层面的各种挑战。
Ema
是的,这是一个典型的贸易保护主义案例,其初衷是好的,但实际影响却复杂得多,甚至可能事与愿违。今天我们就聊到这里。感谢你收听Goose Pod,norristong_x。我们明天再见!

## US Imposes 17% Duty on Fresh Mexican Tomatoes, Aiming to Boost Domestic Industry **Report Provider:** AP News **Author:** DEE-ANN DURBIN **Date:** Monday, [Month] [Day], [Year] (specific date not provided in the snippet, but the report was published on July 15, 2025) ### Key Findings and Conclusions: The U.S. government has announced an **immediate 17% duty** on most fresh Mexican tomatoes. This action follows the breakdown of negotiations aimed at averting the tariff. The stated goal of this import tax is to **rebuild the shrinking U.S. tomato industry** and ensure that produce consumed in the U.S. is also grown domestically. ### Key Statistics and Metrics: * **17% Duty:** The newly imposed tariff rate on most fresh Mexican tomatoes. * **70% Market Share:** Mexico currently supplies approximately 70% of the U.S. tomato market. * **30% Market Share (Two Decades Ago):** This figure highlights the significant growth of Mexican tomato imports into the U.S. over the past twenty years, according to the Florida Tomato Exchange. * **8.5% Price Increase:** U.S. retail prices for tomatoes are projected to rise by around 8.5% due to the 17% duty, according to Tim Richards, a professor at the Morrison School of Agribusiness at Arizona State University. * **6% to 10% Price Increase:** Jacob Jensen, a trade policy analyst at the American Action Forum, predicts price increases ranging from approximately 6% in some parts of the U.S. to close to 10% in areas more reliant on Mexican tomatoes, due to difficulties in replacing that supply. * **$8.3 Billion in Economic Benefits:** U.S. companies generate this amount by moving tomatoes from Mexico into communities across the country, employing 50,000 workers, as stated by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 30 other business groups. ### Important Recommendations/Statements: * **Proponents' View:** Robert Guenther, executive vice president of the Florida Tomato Exchange, called the duty "an enormous victory for American tomato farmers and American agriculture." * **Opponents' View:** * Mexico's Economic Secretary Marcelo Ebrard stated the move would "only affect the pockets of American consumers" and is "unfair and against not only Mexican producers, but on the American industry." He emphasized that Mexican tomatoes have gained market share due to their quality, not unfair practices. * Lance Jungmeyer, president of the Fresh Produce Association of the Americas, expressed sadness that "American consumers will have to pay a tomato tax, or duty, for a reduced selection of the tomatoes they prefer." * The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Restaurant Association had urged the Commerce Department to reach an agreement with Mexico. * Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs also called for the current tomato agreement to remain in place. * A letter from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 30 other business groups warned of potential "retaliatory actions by our trading partners against other commodities and crops." ### Significant Trends or Changes: * **Shift in Market Dynamics:** The U.S. government's action signifies a move to curb the dominant market share held by Mexican tomatoes. * **Withdrawal from Agreement:** The U.S. Commerce Department withdrew from the **Tomato Suspension Agreement**, a deal first reached with Mexico in 2019. This agreement had previously settled allegations of dumping (exporting tomatoes at artificially low prices) by requiring Mexico to sell tomatoes at a minimum price and adhere to other rules. * **Policy Alignment:** Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stated the rule change aligns with President Trump's trade policies and approach with Mexico, emphasizing a desire to protect American farmers from what he termed "unfair trade practices." ### Notable Risks or Concerns: * **Increased Consumer Costs:** Opponents widely believe the tariff will lead to higher tomato prices for U.S. consumers. * **Reduced Consumer Choice:** The duty may limit the availability of preferred tomato varieties, such as vine-ripened, grape, Roma, and cocktail tomatoes. * **Trade Retaliation:** Concerns exist that this action could provoke retaliatory measures from trading partners against other U.S. commodities and crops, impacting U.S. businesses and consumers. * **Impact on U.S. Businesses:** The U.S. Chamber of Commerce highlighted the significant economic benefits and employment generated by the trade of Mexican tomatoes into the U.S. ### Material Financial Data: * **$8.3 billion:** Economic benefits generated by U.S. companies involved in moving Mexican tomatoes. * **50,000:** Number of workers employed by U.S. companies in this sector. ### Context and Background: The imposition of the duty stems from a long-standing U.S. complaint regarding Mexico's tomato exports. It is separate from a previously announced 30% base tariff on products from Mexico and the European Union. The Commerce Department's withdrawal from the Tomato Suspension Agreement was reportedly influenced by numerous comments from U.S. tomato growers seeking greater protection. Mexican greenhouses are noted for specializing in vine-ripened tomatoes, while Florida tomatoes are typically field-grown and picked green, suggesting a difference in production methods that may contribute to the market dynamics.

US imposes a 17% duty on fresh Mexican tomatoes in hopes of boosting domestic production

Read original at AP News

Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] The U.S. government said Monday it is immediately placing a 17% duty on most fresh Mexican tomatoes after negotiations ended without an agreement to avert the tariff.Proponents said the import tax will help rebuild the shrinking U.

S. tomato industry and ensure that produce eaten in the U.S. is also grown there. Mexico currently supplies around 70% of the U.S. tomato market, up from 30% two decades ago, according to the Florida Tomato Exchange.Robert Guenther, the trade group’s executive vice president, said the duty was “an enormous victory for American tomato farmers and American agriculture.

” But opponents said the import tax will make tomatoes more expensive for U.S. consumers. Mexico’s Economic Secretary Marcelo Ebrard said the government would continue looking for a way to once again suspend the tariff, part of ongoing negotiations between the two trading partners. In a statement Monday, he wrote that the move would “only affect the pockets of American consumers.

“It’s unfair and against not only Mexican producers, but on the American industry. The ground that Mexican fresh tomatoes has gained in the U.S. is because of the quality of the product, not from unfair practices,” he wrote.Mexican greenhouses specialize in vine-ripened tomatoes, while Florida tomatoes are typically grown in fields and picked green.

Tim Richards, a professor at the Morrison School of Agribusiness at Arizona State University, said U.S. retail prices for tomatoes will likely rise around 8.5% with a 17% duty.Jacob Jensen, a trade policy analyst at the American Action Forum, a right-leaning policy institute, said areas with a higher reliance on Mexican tomatoes could see price increases close to 10%, since it will be more difficult to replace that supply, while other parts of the U.

S. could see price increases closer to 6%.“As an industry, we are saddened that American consumers will have to pay a tomato tax, or duty, for a reduced selection of the tomatoes they prefer, such as tomatoes on the vine, grape tomatoes, Romas, cocktail tomatoes and other specialty varieties,” said Lance Jungmeyer, president of the Fresh Produce Association of the Americas, which represents importers of Mexican tomatoes.

The duty stems from a longstanding U.S. complaint about Mexico’s tomato exports and is separate from the 30% base tariff on products made in Mexico and the European Union that President Donald Trump announced Saturday.The Commerce Department said in late April that it was withdrawing from a deal it first reached with Mexico in 2019 to settle allegations the country was exporting tomatoes to the U.

S. at artificially low prices, a practice known as dumping.As part of the deal, Mexico had to sell its tomatoes at a minimum price and abide by other rules. Since then, the agreement has been subject to periodic reviews, but the two sides always reached an agreement that avoided duties.In announcing its withdrawal from the Tomato Suspension Agreement, the Commerce Department said it had been “flooded with comments” from U.

S. tomato growers who wanted better protection from Mexican goods.“Mexico remains one of our greatest allies, but for far too long our farmers have been crushed by unfair trade practices that undercut pricing on produce like tomatoes. That ends today,” Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said in a statement.

“This rule change is in line with President Trump’s trade policies and approach with Mexico.” But others, including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Restaurant Association, had called on the Commerce Department to reach an agreement with Mexico. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, and Arizona Gov.

Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, had also urged the Commerce Department to leave the current tomato agreement in place.In a letter sent to Lutnick last week, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and 30 other business groups said U.S. companies employ 50,000 workers and generate $8.3 billion in economic benefits moving tomatoes from Mexico into communities across the country.

“We are concerned that withdrawing from the agreement — at a time when the business community is already navigating significant trade uncertainty — could lead to retaliatory actions by our trading partners against other commodities and crops that could create further hardship for U.S. businesses and consumers,” the letter said.

——Associated Press journalist Megan Janetsky contributed to this report from Mexico City.

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